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Re:Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No ... by zahlman on Monday April 13, 2026 @04:06PM (#47757163)
No, I think the bias is really just a reflection of how propositions are phrased. We could imagine a mirror-world prediction market that offers all the same propositions, but phrased oppositely: e.g. a market in "person X will die by Y date" becomes a market in "person X will survive until Y date". And in that market, we would see a bias towards propositions resolving as Yes.

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