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A comment on Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No on non-sports markets. Parent comment

Re:Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No ... by raincole on Monday April 13, 2026 @01:33PM (#47755347)
> 73% of all polymarkets do resolve to No though.

I wonder what it means exactly. Typical Polymarket looks like this:

X happens before May. [Yes][No]

X happens before June. [Yes][No]

X happens before July. [Yes][No]

...

So even if X ended up happens in December, it's still 12.5% Yes and 87.5% No?

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No ... by traderj0e on Monday April 13, 2026 @02:18PM (#47755927)
That's one event containing three markets, each yes/no. And in a way each market is two separate markets, buy/sell yes and buy/sell no, but they mirror each other.
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Re:Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No ... by raincole on Monday April 13, 2026 @02:58PM (#47756422)
I understand that. That's not my question tho. I am asking for the exact meaning of the 73% number.
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Re:Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No ... by lazyasciiart on Monday April 13, 2026 @03:29PM (#47756779)
And how do you report it in May?
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