Re:LLMs Predict My Coffee
by Hnrobert42 on Monday March 23, 2026 @11:09AM
(#47490580)
I would think that the starting temperature and ambient temperature are controlling. Boiling water is three times ambient temperature. 150°F is twice ambient temperature.
The exponential decay is obvious because he started the readings at boiling. If he had started at 150°F, it might not have been as obvious that the readings were on an exponential curve.
Is that right? I didn't get much sleep and don't drink coffee. Lol
This is the kind of model you would expect from a simple cylindrical model of the coffee cup with some inbuilt heat capacity of its own.
However, those decay coefficients are going to be very dependent of the physical parameters of your coffee cup - in particular the geometry and thermal parameters of the porcelain. There's a lot of assumptions and variability to account for that the models will have to deal with.