Re:Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile...
by jacquesm on Thursday March 19, 2026 @06:10AM
(#47437061)
I think it is much stronger than that: I think the whole reason these exist is to create a way for parties to profit off insider information that side-steps the stock market. Any other effects are a happy coincidence.
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Re:Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile...
by sharp_runner_84 on Thursday March 19, 2026 @11:56AM
(#47441551)
thats a pretty cynical take but i can see the argument. the counter tho is that most of the volume on kalshi is sports contracts now where insider info barely applies - like you dont need a mole at the NBA to know lebron is probably scoring over 25 tonight. the geopolitical stuff is where the insider trading concern is legit