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A comment on Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story. Parent comment

Re:Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile... by BurningFrog on Monday March 16, 2026 @05:32PM (#47405201)
One major utility of prediction markets is to get good estimates of probabilities of future events.
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Re:Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile... by blacksmith_tb on Monday March 16, 2026 @07:14PM (#47406357)
That's an interesting idea, though of course while we've done that with crop or livestock futures, we seem to have coped pretty well without betting on absolutely everything until now.
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Re:Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile... by BurningFrog on Tuesday March 17, 2026 @01:10PM (#47415492)
We usually cope well before inventions improve things.

I don't know if prediction markets will be an important improvement, but it might be, so we should let them run.

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