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A comment on Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story. Parent comment

Re:Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile... by hrimfaxi on Monday March 16, 2026 @11:15AM (#47400134)
How is it at all a prediction if someone has insider knowledge? That's not a prediction that is knowing the facts. If I'm Trump and decide to capture Maduro tomorrow and then I bet on that happening, what did I predict? If someone close to me who knows my plans bets on it, what did they predict? That I will follow through on my word?
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Re:Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile... by kasey_junk on Monday March 16, 2026 @11:32AM (#47400357)
You externalized the answer to the question. That’s _the point_ of prediction markets.

What you are describing is governmental corruption and that should be handled via corruption laws not insider trading laws.

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