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Re:Why political journalists can’t stand Nate Silver by jfc on Saturday November 03, 2012 @03:59PM (#4737705)
What you just posted is misleading. Silver's model gave the GOP a 2 in 3 chance of winning the House in 2010, predicting a net gain of 45-50 House seats, and the majority - http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/10/g-o-p-ha...
Re:Why political journalists can’t stand Nate Silver by andrewljohnson on Saturday November 03, 2012 @04:12PM (#4737751)
Also, his modeling is MUCH more accurate for presidential races, where there is more polling data, and thus a lower sampling error.