Re:Global warming has accelerated significantly
by morkalork on Friday March 06, 2026 @11:26AM
(#47277065)
Wasn't a drought originally part of the cause of Syria's collapse into civil war? Climate change is already causing unrest in equitorial countries, mass migration and a corresponding rise in authoritarianism / right wing populism in Europe.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:Global warming has accelerated significantly
by parineum on Friday March 06, 2026 @11:42AM
(#47277349)
You're making the "It's snowing there can't be global warming" argument in reverse.
One local drought can't be attributed to or be proof of global warming.
It's like smoking causing lung cancer; (the following numbers are made up) 5 in 100 non-smokers might get lung cancer but 20 in 100 smokers do. 5 of those smokers would have gotten lung cancer anyway and 15 wouldn't have but there's no way to know which individuals are in which cohort.
Re:Global warming has accelerated significantly
by gzread on Friday March 06, 2026 @11:56AM
(#47277600)
Not necessarily. Climate change means there will be more droughts; and if droughts cause civil war, there will be more civil war (that's the GP's relevance); even if we can't tell which ones were caused by global warming, that's still bad.
Re:Global warming has accelerated significantly
by morkalork on Friday March 06, 2026 @12:16PM
(#47277963)
Oh no, on the contrary, I'm saying it's already started and people aren't paying attention.
Re:Global warming has accelerated significantly
by parineum on Saturday March 07, 2026 @11:06AM
(#47288829)
> Wasn't a drought originally part of the cause of Syria's collapse into civil war? Climate change is already causing unrest...
You're drawing (or seem to be) a causal link from climate change to this specific drought/war.
Climate change is a statistical anomaly that cannot be seen in individual events.