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Re:OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Tr... by somenameforme on Saturday February 28, 2026 @11:22AM (#47197132)
Would you not say that somebody could equally cynically describe options trading in this way?

Prediction markets are very valuable because they provide information on issues that's generally much more accurate than alternative sources, such as polls. For instance Polymarket predicted 94% of the results for the 2024 election a month out, including the presidential. It can also provide more information than the news. For instance the chances of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31st just skyrocketed up to 78%. That tells me far more than the various news sites minute by minute coverage.

Re:OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Tr... by throwaway5752 on Saturday February 28, 2026 @11:38AM (#47197348)
Help me understand the relatively regulatory frameworks around each activity.