Re:Amazon Reports First Quarterly Loss in 4 Years
by polyfractal on Friday October 26, 2012 @10:35AM
(#4702290)
Define "great company".
Known risks and future returns are certainly correlated. Unknown risks (financial crisis meltdown) are obviously uncorrelated because they are unknown. You can't control for those, which is why you diversify.
What are you going to do when your "great company" has a horrible CEO scandal and sinks the company? That's an unknown risk that would be prevented by diversifying your investments.
Known risks (such as "can this company execute it's vision well enough to be profitable at 500m revenue/year?") are what you weigh against the return ("I personally think so, but the market doesn't, so I'm getting a discount on the stock price when it eventually succeeds").
Known risks and future returns are certainly correlated. Unknown risks (financial crisis meltdown) are obviously uncorrelated because they are unknown. You can't control for those, which is why you diversify.
What are you going to do when your "great company" has a horrible CEO scandal and sinks the company? That's an unknown risk that would be prevented by diversifying your investments.
Known risks (such as "can this company execute it's vision well enough to be profitable at 500m revenue/year?") are what you weigh against the return ("I personally think so, but the market doesn't, so I'm getting a discount on the stock price when it eventually succeeds").