I think it's coupled differential equations where each growth factor amplifies the others, I posted about it in 2024 - https://b.h4x.zip/ce/ - sent it around a bit but everyone thought I was nuts, look at that post from 2025 and think about what was happening IRL under the graphs line, then go look at where METR is today. I'm not trying to brag, I don't work for anthropic, but I do think I'm probably right.