Long term, I do think more value will settle natively on-chain. Programmatic payments (x402-style flows, USDC, etc.) make a lot of sense for agents — especially for auditability, automated accounting, and verifiable track records. From a regulatory perspective, though, agents don’t have liability — their creators do — and I don’t see that changing anytime soon. So someone is always responsible, even if settlement is fully on-chain.

Where I’m more skeptical is around trading specifically. On-chain transparency is great for verification, but trading often depends on discretion. If an agent’s wallet, balances, or patterns are easily traceable, you lose strategic privacy — and in thinner markets (like some prediction markets), that can materially affect execution and pricing.

So my current view is: settlement and performance tracking likely move more on-chain over time, but there will still be demand for execution layers that preserve strategy privacy. Happy to be proven wrong — the design space is still evolving.