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Re:The Great College Hoax by tptacek on Thursday February 05, 2009 @01:51PM (#468469)
Uh, even for two people with six-figure salaries --- and speaking from experience here --- two thousand eight hundred dollars a month is a shitload of money. It's a second full-sized house in a nice neighborhood, or the rent on two apartments, or (wait for it) seven BMW 315i car payments.
Re:The Great College Hoax by acgourley on Thursday February 05, 2009 @02:18PM (#468515)
Yes it's a lot of money, but it also leaves them with a lot of money left every month. I don't know exactly what your net income in CA on 200k is (and if they filed jointly, etc), but they should take home at least 10k a month.

They still have 7k a month to live on. I don't see the problem.

Re:The Great College Hoax by tptacek on Thursday February 05, 2009 @02:37PM (#468553)
Assume they're living in a house and they have one child. Then:

$2800 for loans.

$3500 for mortage and escrow.

$1300 for child care (both work).

$1000 for food and day-to-day living expenses.

$1000 for utilities, Internet, services and recurring expenses --- parking, commute, health care copay and (with most employers) dependent coverage, etc.

I get $9600. Survivable? Of course. You can clearly survive in America with a $2800/mo student loan burden offset by a $200k/yr income. But:

* It's not "comfortable"; for instance, they aren't putting away money to put their kid in college.

* It's not resilient; they're fucked as soon as one of them loses their job.

* It's not flexible; for instance, they might literally not be able to afford to have a second kid.

Now, they don't have kids, I get that. But the moral of the story was, their student loan debt load was so high they couldn't stay married. They're smart enough to make 200k/yr, they're smart enough to do this math.

Re:The Great College Hoax by SystemOut on Thursday February 05, 2009 @05:12PM (#468849)
Here's the problem. Why do they need a 3500 mortgage? Why should they be entitled to a house that expensive if they took in that kind of law school debt? Let's say you knock off 1500 of that and just pay rent. That's what my wife and I did and she only has about 400 a month in loan payments. We didn't have kids but let's just leave it there and put it in savings or pay off the loans faster. Let's even leave the 2000 in other expenses. That leaves you at 2800 + 2000 + 2000 = 6800. 8100 if you factor in rainy day savings. You should be taking home more than 10k a month at that income range, even in California with its crappy taxes.

It's doable, more than doable. I hate being judgmental or assuming more than I know from their situation but these people just reek of getting overextended and not being able to apply any discipline in their lives.

Then again, they're both law students and didn't read the fine print. Would you really trust a lawyer that did that? I wouldn't.

Re:The Great College Hoax by acgourley on Thursday February 05, 2009 @03:19PM (#468608)
I appreciate your breakdown, and your post below about how its harder to rent with a family.

I still think it's ridiculous. I'm not going to go into a point by point rundown because it would take a lot of space and fork the argument several times, but basically I feel that if you ran these numbers by most Americans they would first laugh out loud, then get a little angry.

You seem to think access to top schools and a luxurious lifestyle are prerequisites for a marriage. Empirically, this is false.

That's looking at this situation WITH children. Once you take the children out, as was true with the original case, it gets even more ridiculous. They no longer have such a case for a mortgage and even if they do keep it, they can put away about 1500 a month by not feeding and babysitting a kid.

Re:The Great College Hoax by tptacek on Thursday February 05, 2009 @03:30PM (#468626)
Let's you and I be clear: I agree with you that 2.8k/mo is not a dealbreaking debt load for a couple with a joint income of 200k. I'm just suggesting that, on the story's own terms, it clearly could be: their marriage could have easily broken up because that (large) amount of debt was incompatible with their life plan.
Re:The Great College Hoax by Retric on Thursday February 05, 2009 @03:34PM (#468643)
Breaking up is not going to reduce their debt.
Re:The Great College Hoax by tptacek on Thursday February 05, 2009 @03:46PM (#468675)
No, but if both of them want kids, it will allow them to find a partner that isn't saddled with $1600/mo in college loans. As a partnership, breaking up potentially cuts their debt load in half.
Re:The Great College Hoax by nostrademons on Friday February 06, 2009 @12:30AM (#469407)
It sounded like they'd already had kids together, in which case breaking up opens up a whole other can of worms...
Re:The Great College Hoax by tptacek on Thursday February 05, 2009 @03:46PM (#468674)
No, but if both of them want kids, it will allow them to find a partner that isn't saddled with $1600/mo in college loans. As a partnership, breaking up potentially cuts their debt load in half.
Re:The Great College Hoax by apsec112 on Thursday February 05, 2009 @06:37PM (#468992)
This is silly. $200K/year minus $50K/year for loan payments ($34K/year + tax) is $150K/year. The median household income in the US is $50K/year (2007). $150K is 94th percentile; these people are not only not scraping by, but are doing better than 94% of Americans even after debt.
Re:The Great College Hoax by wallflower on Thursday February 05, 2009 @07:43PM (#469089)
Tom Wolfe's "Bonfire of the Vanities" (Going broke on a million a year), p.137

"One breath of scandal, and not only would the Giscard scheme collapse but his very career would be finished! And what would he do then? I’m already going broke on a million a year!

The appalling figures came popping up into his brain. Last year his income had been $980,000. But he had to pay out $21,000 a month for the $1.8 million loan he had to take out to buy the apartment…

Of the $560,000 remaining of his income last year, $44,400 was required for the apartment’s monthly maintenance fee… $18,000 for heat, utilities, insurance and repairs, $6,000 for lawn and hedge cutting, $8,000 for taxes. Entertaining at home and in restaurants had come to $37,000. This was a modest sum compared to what other people spent."

Another perspective:

UrbanBaby is an anonymous message board frequented by some typical New York UES/UWS mothers. Here they talk about not being afford private school on $400k/yr

DC = dear child, DH = dear husband

http://www.urbanbaby.com/talk/posts/50368448

Re:The Great College Hoax by Retric on Thursday February 05, 2009 @03:38PM (#468653)
First off they started at over 200k/year and one consulted on the side so they where probably into 300k/year fairly quickly. With 200k in student debt you should not buy a house until it's paid down. Rent a nice place for 2500$ / month in 1995 and in 3 years that's down to 160k. This is normal for most people starting out. My guess is they where trying to keep up with the jonzes and living way above their means.
Re:The Great College Hoax by tptacek on Thursday February 05, 2009 @03:50PM (#468689)
I don't understand your math here. In 3 years, they reduce their debt to 160k. They can't buy a house until their debt is basically 0. How many years from now do they have to wait to raise children in a house?

Again, they didn't die. They just broke up. And $2800/mo is a shitload of money, however you want to rationalize it.

Re:The Great College Hoax by Retric on Thursday February 05, 2009 @05:06PM (#468829)
I don't understand your math here.

My point was that they could comfortably go from 2,000/mo in interest down to under 1,600/month in three years. Interest is API / 12 per month so principle gives (1 + API / 1200) ^12 return per year. (1.01)^12 = 12.8% that's after taxes and powerful. They should also be making more money over time even as their debt is less of a problem and you feel good that debt is shrinking fast. Which should help the psychological situation.

Using 12% an extra 1000 down saves them 10$ in next month and every month after that it keeps compounding. At 1000$ per month over interest you pay down 12,700 in principle in one year (assuming you don't reduce your payment as interest drops). In 3 years they are saving 430$ / month, but assume they roll that savings into paying down principle in a ~9 years it's all payed off.

But, they don't need to wait that long, they just need to find the right cushion so they feel comfortable taking on more debt. Pay down 82k (saving 820/month) in 5 years and the world looks like a brighter place, your making more money, and buying a house might be a good idea. Don't want to wait that long, fine share a 1 bedroom, drive a used Honda civic etc and and all that debt just about GONE in 3 years.

Re:The Great College Hoax by poppysan on Thursday February 05, 2009 @02:24PM (#468525)
I live in CA and am struggling at just under 6 figures. Childcare and Mortgage on an (average 500K) home is the majority of my salary. Here is the problem. With over 80% of my net going to living expenses, there is no extra 2800 to go to school loans.

Thank heavens I have no loans, just have to pay my wife's off....

Re:The Great College Hoax by acgourley on Thursday February 05, 2009 @02:36PM (#468552)
Wouldn't you say that a large part of a mortgage payment is actually an investment? If you were faced with large student loan payments, you could just decide to rent rather than take on a huge investment.

Again, I don't see the problem.

Re:The Great College Hoax by tptacek on Thursday February 05, 2009 @02:43PM (#468564)
I'm wondering if you had a straight face on when you said "a large part of the mortgage payment is an investment". Either way: if they want to build a family, the rent vs. mortgage decision isn't going to change the equation much. Again, assume they have a kid. They have to factor in:

* Commute distance, which will determine how often they actually see their children.

* Lease security; it is extremely traumatic to move a school-age child to a new school district, or even just a new school.

* School quality: the places with the best rental stock are not necessarily places with acceptable public school, or accessible child care.

Again: the article's claim isn't that a couple can't survive on 200k. It's that they couldn't stay married. I can see reasons why.