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A comment on SpaceX lowering orbits of 4,400 Starlink satellites for safety's sake. Parent comment

Re:SpaceX lowering orbits of 4,400 Starlink satellites for s... by ben_w on Friday January 23, 2026 @03:38PM (#46737568)
You're quoting something I didn't write; but to the point that we may already be in the early stages of a cascade, here's the modelling behind it:

https://conference.sdo.esoc.esa.int/proceedings/sdc9/paper/3...

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Re:SpaceX lowering orbits of 4,400 Starlink satellites for s... by JumpCrisscross on Friday January 23, 2026 @04:29PM (#46738185)
This paper is brought up elsewhere in this thread and responded to. TL; DR It raises interesting modelling strategies, and develops on cool numerical methods from Kessler (2001), but it's far off from "pretty good chance."
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