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Re:Kiel Institute Analysis: US Americans pay 96% of tariff b... by 0xy on Monday January 19, 2026 @12:08PM (#46681509)
I'm not unconvinced by the idea that businesses in the US dulled inflation by pulling forward stock purchases and stockpiling goods. But 9 months worth of goods? SMBs can't afford to do that. Large enterprises don't have the warehousing capacity to do that.

Could you imagine Amazon increasing their stock on hand by 30%? Maybe. Could you imagine them quadrupling their stock on hand? Seems unlikely.

Impacts should've shown up by now, most of the stockpiled goods would've been sold down.

Re:Kiel Institute Analysis: US Americans pay 96% of tariff b... by Glyptodon on Monday January 19, 2026 @12:31PM (#46681878)
I don't know, it seems like there has been a fair amount of reporting about closing or struggling SMBs and farms, and there's also the economy changing to make more and more of the spending come from upper income, which will be less price sensitive and the question of whether various things could have gone down in price otherwise.

The popular zeitgeist seems to reject the inflation numbers because of perceiving it to be higher, too.

I do agree it's probably not inventory, but the frequent changes to the policies may also be part of it too.

Re:Kiel Institute Analysis: US Americans pay 96% of tariff b... by jacquesm on Monday January 19, 2026 @01:34PM (#46682720)
And then there is the bit where the reporting agencies can no longer be trusted.