Yeah, the latest wave of Opus 4.5, Codex 5.2, Gemini Pro 3 rendered a lot of my skepticism redundant as well. While I generally agree with the Jevon's paradox line of reasoning, I have to acknowledge it's difficult to make any reasonable prediction on technology that's moving at such immense speed.

I expected the LLM's would have hit a scaling wall by now, and I was wrong. Perhaps that'll still happen. If not, regardless of whether it'll ultimately create or eliminate more jobs, it'll destabilize the job market.