News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden. Parent comment

Re:Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden by xlbuttplug2 on Monday December 08, 2025 @09:51PM (#46200717)
I think the turning point will be when AI assisted individuals or tiny companies are able to deliver comparable products/value as the goliaths.
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden by esafak on Monday December 08, 2025 @10:48PM (#46201040)
That would be the ideal scenario; when you can build a small business more easily.
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden by pmg101 on Tuesday December 09, 2025 @06:03AM (#46203551)
Why hasn't this happened already?

I'm willing to believe the hype on LLMs except that I don't see any tiny 1-senior-dev-plus-agents companies disrupting the market. Maybe it just hasn't happened "yet"... But I've been kind of wondering the same thing for most of 2025.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden by xlbuttplug2 on Tuesday December 09, 2025 @01:23PM (#46208506)
I think it has to get good enough to a point where humans are not the bottleneck for code review and course correction.

I guess the "velocity" multiplier is closer to 10x rather than the 1000x needed for true disruption capability.

[ Parent | on HN ]