Re:Investment without optimization: LLM-as-a-Judge tournamen...
by kyuksel on Thursday December 04, 2025 @04:32PM
(#46153387)
This work explores whether large language models can replicate the qualitative reasoning processes used by investment committees, instead of relying on numerical optimizers.
The first component is a correlation-aware selection method that repurposes a hierarchical clustering dendrogram as a tournament bracket. At each internal node, the LLM allocates selection slots between clusters and performs structured eliminations within correlation regimes.
The second component is a portfolio evolution loop that contains no objective function, expected returns, covariance matrices, or solvers. Instead, the model compares variants using a qualitative rubric (business quality, durability, thematic alignment, drawdown resilience, diversification) and accepts improvements through iterative reasoning.
Both mechanisms are fully text-explainable: every elimination, selection, and mutation is auditable.
The first component is a correlation-aware selection method that repurposes a hierarchical clustering dendrogram as a tournament bracket. At each internal node, the LLM allocates selection slots between clusters and performs structured eliminations within correlation regimes.
The second component is a portfolio evolution loop that contains no objective function, expected returns, covariance matrices, or solvers. Instead, the model compares variants using a qualitative rubric (business quality, durability, thematic alignment, drawdown resilience, diversification) and accepts improvements through iterative reasoning.
Both mechanisms are fully text-explainable: every elimination, selection, and mutation is auditable.