I regularly follow the ISW reports, among other sources, and I'm quite sure I have a comprehensive view of Russia's ability to wage war.

I really struggle to see the logic where Russia could've won this earlier, but is holding back major resources, I don't see the evidence, yet we know that they've lost 1M people between deaths and severe injuries. Those aren't things you recover easily from.

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian...