It's not windows mobile because OpenAI was first and is the clear leader in the market. Windows mobile was late to the party and missed their window.

Palm is closer but it's a different world. It's established that Internet advertising companies are worth trillions. It's only in retrospect that what Palm could have been is obvious.

Barring something very unexpected OpenAI is coming out on top. They're prepaying for a good 5-10 years of compute. That means their inference and training for that time are "free" because they've been paid for. They're going to be able to bury their competition in money or buy them out.

Windows mobile by the time it looked like the iPhone was late to the party. But windows had been releasing a mobile os for a long time before that. Microsoft was first, they just didn’t make as good of a product as Apple despite their money.

OpenAI is also first, but it is absolutely not a given that they are the Apple in this situation. Microsoft too had money to bury the competition, they even staged a fake funeral when they shipped windows phone 7.

> Barring something very unexpected

Like the release of an iPhone?

Yep. It would have to be something that dramatic to render all the technology and infrastructure OpenAI has obsolete. But if it's anything like massive data training on a huge number of GPUs then OpenAI is one of the winners.