That's very ambiguous. "Most people" don't know most things. If we're talking about people that have been working in the industry though, my understanding is that the concept of our modern day LLMs aren't magical at all. In fact, the idea has been around for quite a while. The breakthroughs in processing power and networking (data) were the hold up. The result definitely feels magical to "most people" though for sure. Right now we're "iterating" right?

I'm not sure anyone really see's a clear path to AGI if what we're actually talking about is the singularity. There are a lot of unknown unknowns right?