They have a definition actually) “When AI generates $100 billion in profits” it will be considered an AGI. This term was defined in their previous partnership, not sure if it's still holds after the restructuring.

https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/26/microsoft-and-openai-have-...

Which means that given enough time an LLM powered vending machine would be classified as AGI... interesting

Why wait? Just let it bet $100 billions on red or black in a casino a couple of times, and voila!

I wonder if they have more detailed provisions than this though. For example, if a later version of Sora can make good advertisements and catches on in the ad industry, would that count?

Or maybe since it is ultimately an agreement about money and IP, they are fine with defining it solely through profits?

That is a staggering number - if an engineer makes $100k per year, and let's say OpenAI can do a 20% profit margin on running an engineer-equivalent agent, that means it needs $600B profit or 6 million fully-equivalent engineer years.

I think you can rebuild human civilization with that.

I feel like replacing highly skilled human labor hardly makes financial sense, if it costs that much.

how much does an ai researcher make per year though?

> These guys think they are prophets.

You say this somewhat jokingly, but I think they 100% believe something along those lines.

>> Whether you are an enterprise developer or BigTech in the US you are on average making twice the median income in your area. There is usually no reason for you not to be stacking cash.

Accidental misquote?

It goes on to say it'll be reviewed by independent third party so I think "declare" is accurate, they're declaring a milestone

I think the correct word is "propose".

OpenAI: I DECLARE AGI

MS: I just wanted you to know that you can't just say the word AGI and expect anything to happen.

OpenAI: I didn't say it. I declared it.