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A comment on Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD. Parent comment

Re:Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD by Terr_ on Thursday October 23, 2025 @02:01AM (#45678634)
I suggest checking the HN submission before giving up.

> Most alarmingly, the METR study found experienced developers took 19% longer with AI tools, despite believing they’d sped up by 20%.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD by Our_Benefactors on Thursday October 23, 2025 @09:57AM (#45681878)
Did you read the article?

> We do not provide evidence that: AI systems do not currently speed up many or most software developers

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Re:Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD by Terr_ on Thursday October 23, 2025 @03:13PM (#45685662)
> many or most

You act like that's a "gotcha" instead of a normal thing. All they mean by that [0] is that can't mathematically prove their developers/tasks/tool are representative for of the majority of worldwide developers/tasks/tools.

You're demanding an unreasonable level of investment for anyone to "prove a negative."

The burden of proof lies on the people claiming zillion-fold boosts in productivity. This especially true because they could profit in the process, as opposed to just burning money to prove a point.

[0] https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-o...

[ Parent | on HN ]