It's the literary equivalent of thinking someone must be a "hacker" because they have a Bash terminal open.
No, it doesn't. But people are putting that out there, people are getting accused of using AI because they know how to use em dashes properly, and this is dumb.
I dunno, I feel like the base rate fallacy [0] could easily become a factor... Especially if we don't even have an idea what the false-positive or false-negative rates are yet, let alone true prevalence.
I'm pretty sure that all the comments about how it was "rarely seen" are because people weren't paying attention to them before in the way they do now.
In any case, to dismiss something as AI slap based solely on this one thing is both lazy and rude, and should be treated as such.
In general while reading blogs, Reddit, HN, youtube comments, X posts and so forth, I rarely never saw run-on sentences like that combined with em-dashes. Sure, they existed, but it was pretty uncommon up until about two years ago and now I see them all the time. So anecdotally, there is absolutely a shift in usage right around the time that LLM's took off. I wouldn't judge a professional article or book by its use of em-dashes, but I absolutely judge user generated text on the web.
Its not the only thing I judge on, though. Its just one of a number of red flags. Frequent uses of lists (of usually three items) and of bullet points too -- and run on sentences, not just the em-dashes. Yes, I did that on purpose.