> It's pretty wild for a random HN user to label one of the top 10 most successful technology leaders of our time as "insane"

It should probably happen more often.

Here, let me go. I think it is insane that Elon Musk took so much ketamine that he kept peeing his pants and then kept telling people about it. I think it is insane he's been promising that FSD is <2 years away for the past decade.

Jeff Bezos is a morally bankrupt oligarch; that does not, depending on who you ask, make him insane, but it does mean that I will interpret what he says through the lens of a sociopath who is used to hearing from sycophants.

I labeled the statement insane not the person. It's also a common slang to call an opinion insane without it being taken to a level of seriousness that you implied.

Given two sets of data: The statistics and your anecdotal evidence.

The probability of anecdotal evidence being correct must be lower than than the anecdotal evidence being incorrect when it conflicts with the statistics since the statistics come from anecdotal evidence.

Therefore, all other things being equal, if you are presented with data that conflicts with your anecdotal evidence the data has the higher probability of being correct.

Hero worship is pretty bad in tech circles. Just because Bezos has managed to win at the money game, doesn't mean he's a good person. He's pretty sociopathic. I know several people who worked with him very closely in the beginning years of Amazon and they tell stories...