We Are Now One Year Away From Global Riots, Complex Systems Theorists Say

Re:We Are Now One Year Away From Global Riots, Complex Syste... by rickmode on Tuesday September 11, 2012 @10:40AM (#4505642)

I wonder how much of this is over-fitting.

When I see statistical predictions like this I always wonder about the over-fitting problem.

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Re:We Are Now One Year Away From Global Riots, Complex Syste... by Peroni on Tuesday September 11, 2012 @10:58AM (#4505723)

Usually I would agree 100%. This stuff reeks of scaremongering however given the source you would have to assume that the Complex Systems Institute wouldn't allow themselves to be susceptible to overfitting.

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Re:We Are Now One Year Away From Global Riots, Complex Syste... by majorapps on Tuesday September 11, 2012 @11:59AM (#4506155)

Peer-reviewed science is built on anonymous reviewing so that assumptions like this are not an issue. Look at the data, not the publisher.

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Re:We Are Now One Year Away From Global Riots, Complex Syste... by lambersley on Tuesday September 11, 2012 @01:38PM (#4506747)

Well said. Is the data suggesting causation or correlation?

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