Re:Everything Is Correlated
by taneq on Friday August 22, 2025 @07:53AM
(#44983397)
I’d say rather that “statistically significance” is a measure of surprise. It’s saying “If this default (the null hypothesis) is true, how surprised would I be to make these observations?”
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Maybe you can think of it as saying "should I be surprised" but certainly not "how surprised should I be". The magnitude of the p-value is a function of sample size. It is not an odds ratio for updating your beliefs.