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A comment on GenAI FOMO has spurred businesses to light nearly $40B on fire. Parent comment

Re:GenAI FOMO has spurred businesses to light nearly $40B on... by jandrese on Monday August 18, 2025 @05:12PM (#44945391)
CEOs are just salivating at the prospect of firing most of their staff and replacing them with AIs. And then you have hype men at these AI companies blowing a burning coal mine of smoke up their asses. And every month the products become even more expensive for even more incremental gains. The hype is unsustainable.

How many "we will have AGI by X/X/201X" predictions have we blown past already?

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Re:GenAI FOMO has spurred businesses to light nearly $40B on... by arcanemachiner on Monday August 18, 2025 @05:26PM (#44945519)
> How many "we will have AGI by X/X/201X" predictions have we blown past already?

Just imagine how many predictions we'll have in six months, or even a year from now!

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Re:GenAI FOMO has spurred businesses to light nearly $40B on... by ed_elliott_asc on Monday August 18, 2025 @05:38PM (#44945616)
We don’t need to imagine, we can ask ChatGPT
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Re:GenAI FOMO has spurred businesses to light nearly $40B on... by Terr_ on Monday August 18, 2025 @06:35PM (#44946021)
Yeah, everyone knows LLMs excel at providing mathematically-sound answers to novel questions. :p
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Re:GenAI FOMO has spurred businesses to light nearly $40B on... by sebastiennight on Monday August 18, 2025 @09:43PM (#44947396)
> How many "we will have AGI by X/X/201X" predictions have we blown past already?

This seems wildly inaccurate.

Can you find any single such claim from any credible source? Anybody hyping up an AGI timeframe within the 2010s?

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Re:GenAI FOMO has spurred businesses to light nearly $40B on... by jandrese on Tuesday August 19, 2025 @09:30AM (#44951291)
Ok, this one is for the end of 2025 so we could still achieve it, and this is from a guy with an AI company (xAI):

https://www.reuters.com/technology/teslas-musk-predicts-ai-w...

Another AI company CEO prediction:

https://time.com/7205596/sam-altman-superintelligence-agi/

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Re:GenAI FOMO has spurred businesses to light nearly $40B on... by sebastiennight on Wednesday August 20, 2025 @11:38AM (#44962922)
I think you're proving my point here. Nobody credible was promising AGI would be arriving in the 2010s.

2025 is halfway through the 2020's.

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