> I don't think there will be such a unique event.
I guess it depends on your definition of AGI, but if it means human level intelligence then the unique event will be the AI having the ability to act on its own without a "prompt".
> the unique event will be the AI having the ability to act on its own without a "prompt"
That's super easy. The reason they need a prompt is that this is the way we make them useful. We don't need LLMs to generate an endless stream of random "thoughts" otherwise, but if you really wanted to, just hook one up to a webcam and microphone stream in a loop and provide it some storage for "memories".
I don't think there will be such a unique event. There is no clear boundary. This is a continuous process. Modells get slightly better than before.
Also, another dimension is the inference cost to run those models. It has to be cheap enough to really take advantage of it.
Also, I wonder, what would be a good target to make profit, to develop new things? There is Isomorphic Labs, which seems like a good target. This company already exists now, and people are working on it. What else?