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Re:GLP-1s Are Breaking Life Insurance by nrenegar on Monday July 14, 2025 @10:13AM (#44560540)
It's extremely incorrect. 98% accuracy on when "you'll" die would imply an R^2 of 0.98 for individual-level lifespan predictions. We are nowhere close to that.
Re:GLP-1s Are Breaking Life Insurance by neaden on Monday July 14, 2025 @10:53AM (#44560970)
It could mean a lot of things. It could mean "We think you'll die at 87+-5 years" and counting it as a success if you die anywhere in that age range for instance which I could believe they can predict the vast majority of the time. I doubt they are referring to the R Squared.