Here are my predictions for 10 years out along with upskilling recommendations: https://open.substack.com/pub/drewhoskins/p/the-most-promisi... I agree with many of your points, would just generalize a couple of them. For example, I think there are many pieces of software that need to be complex and excellent, not just those close to hardware. And niche apps are a good (but not only) example of where LLMs will struggle to solo-code because they lack product context. Other key questions for a project: how much training data does the LLM have access to? (Innovative things generally have much less.) How much ownership skill is required to build it?