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A comment on The secret to success in the arts. Parent comment

Re:The secret to success in the arts by lazerwalker on Friday August 17, 2012 @09:46AM (#4396280)
My problem with his article is that he seems to only define "success" and "recognition" in terms of being within that top 100.

There are a lot of startups that are profitable and have users loving their products that will never sell to Facebook for $1 billion. Using Salmon's argument, it takes pure luck to get to that Instagram-level of success. I buy that. I don't think it follows that all of those small profitable startups are therefore financial failures, which seems to be the conclusion he's drawn.

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Re:The secret to success in the arts by nateberkopec on Friday August 17, 2012 @04:45PM (#4398712)
I don't think he does. You have to take the argument in context - he's talking about Nassim Taleb, who's interested in "Black Swan" 50-sigma outcomes.
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