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Re:Reservoir Sampling by amw-zero on Friday May 09, 2025 @09:03AM (#43936269)
You’re confusing statistics with forecasting. We can and should trust statistics. We should just never trust their relation to future behavior.
Re:Reservoir Sampling by swiftcoder on Friday May 09, 2025 @09:34AM (#43936552)
Fairly sure the previous poster is describing statistics that were made up, rather than measured/sampled. Those are, for hopefully obvious reasons, not very trustworthy
Re:Reservoir Sampling by stefs on Friday May 09, 2025 @12:05PM (#43938362)
so, the actual lesson to be learned was more along the lines of "never trust lies".
Re:Reservoir Sampling by codr7 on Friday May 09, 2025 @06:27PM (#43941509)
Sure, but in this case the lies ended up packaged as the official tourism statistics report from the government, and I'm pretty sure it was neither the first nor last time that happened.
Re:Reservoir Sampling by Scrutiny6707 on Saturday May 10, 2025 @03:45PM (#43948332)
>We can and should trust statistics. We should just never trust their relation to future behavior.

99% of people I've ever met believe statistics and forecasting are synonyms.

Mostly because it gets used that way in a political sense.