First American pope elected and will be known as Pope Leo XIV

Re:First American pope elected and will be known as Pope Leo... by HughParry on Thursday May 08, 2025 @01:38PM (#43928873)

Posted on the other thread as I thought it was pretty interesting:

>Roughly 0.5% odds on him on polymarket before he was announced

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:First American pope elected and will be known as Pope Leo... by gkoberger on Thursday May 08, 2025 @01:44PM (#43928975)

EDIT: I was wrong, he was quite down the list! He only appears in the chart because he ultimately won, so higher contenders dropped off.

He seemed to hover around 1%, which was the second highest behind Tagle (~20%)

https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-pope?tid=1...

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:First American pope elected and will be known as Pope Leo... by fasthands9 on Thursday May 08, 2025 @01:47PM (#43929032)

That link isn't showing most of the options. I believe there were at least 10 above him. Just individually look at the lines for Zuppi, Pizzaballa, Sarah, etc.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:First American pope elected and will be known as Pope Leo... by alexchamberlain on Thursday May 08, 2025 @01:44PM (#43928970)

I don't understand what people were basing that on; the conclave is a completely secret process?

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:First American pope elected and will be known as Pope Leo... by RandomBacon on Thursday May 08, 2025 @01:46PM (#43929009)

The winning lottery numbers are a secret too before they're drawn; people just like to gamble.

[ Parent | on HN ]