If you look at Our World in Data's "Test scores of AI systems on various capabilities relative to human performance" https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/test-scores-ai-capabiliti...

you can see a pattern of fairly steady progress in different aspects, like they matched humans for image recognition around 2015 but 'complex reasoning' is still much worse than humans but rising.

Looking at the graph, I'd guess maybe five years before it can do all human skills which is roughly AGI?

I've got a personal AGI test of being able to fix my plumbing, given a robot body. Which they are way off just now.