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Re:Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at a... by mac-attack on Tuesday April 29, 2025 @11:41AM (#43834161)
> In contrast, this article, i.e., the paper it discusses, is is based on what has happened so far.

What happened in 2023 and 2024 actually

Nitpicky but it's worth noting that last year's AI capabilities are not the April 2025 AI capabilities and definitely won't be the December 2025 capabilities.

It's using deprecated/replaced technology to make a statement, that is not forward projecting. I'm struggling to see the purpose. It's like announcing that the sun is still shining at 7pm, no?

Re:Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at a... by rafaelmn on Tuesday April 29, 2025 @12:15PM (#43834620)
I feel like model improvement is severely overstated by the benchmarks and the last release cycle basically made no difference to my use cases. If you gave me Claude 3.5 and 3.7 I couldn't really tell the difference. OpenAI models feel like they are regressing, and LLAMA 4 regressed even on benchmarks.

And the hype was insane in 2023 already - it's useful to compare actual outcomes vs historic hype to gauge how credible the hype sellers are.

Re:Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at a... by kypro on Tuesday April 29, 2025 @12:23PM (#43834732)
That's interesting. I think there's been some pretty significant improvements in the rate of hallucinations and accuracy of the models, especially when it comes to rule following. Perhaps the biggest improvement though is in the size of context windows which are huge compared to this time last year.

Maybe progress over the last 2-3 months is hard to see, but progress over the last 6 is very clear.

Re:Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at a... by freejazz on Tuesday April 29, 2025 @02:03PM (#43835974)
Well, it's a given that the sun is shining when it is out. Not so much with the AI.