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A comment on AI 2027. Parent comment

Re:AI 2027 by mitthrowaway2 on Thursday April 03, 2025 @01:47PM (#43573079)
Can you phrase this in a concrete way, so that in 2027 we can all agree whether it's true or false, rather than circling a "no true scotsman" argument?
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Re:AI 2027 by abecedarius on Thursday April 03, 2025 @04:56PM (#43575304)
Good question. I tried to phrase a concrete-enough prediction 3.5 years ago, for 5 years out at the time: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29020401

It was surpassed around the beginning of this year, so you'll need to come up with a new one for 2027. Note that the other opinions in that older HN thread almost all expected less.

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