Re:Closing Keynote with Leslie Lamport at Scale 22x: Coding ...
by stickfigure on Tuesday March 25, 2025 @09:59AM
(#43471400)
"Past performance does not guarantee future results"
You can't extrapolate from the last 6 months, especially with technologies this new. There's no Moore's Law of LLMs. Context windows are still tiny and the codebases that actually run our world are still huge.
This time next year I expect you're going to be disappointed.
Let me rephrase that. This time next year I expect that I will be disappointed but you will still be predicting a completely different universe... next year.
You can't extrapolate from the last 6 months, especially with technologies this new. There's no Moore's Law of LLMs. Context windows are still tiny and the codebases that actually run our world are still huge.
This time next year I expect you're going to be disappointed.
Let me rephrase that. This time next year I expect that I will be disappointed but you will still be predicting a completely different universe... next year.