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Re:I Fear for the Unauthenticated Web by maeln on Thursday March 20, 2025 @12:11PM (#43425154)
> This prediction market has it at 12% likely to succeed

Randos on the internet with a betting addiction are distinctively different from a court of law. I wish people would stop talking about prediction market as if they mattered.

Re:I Fear for the Unauthenticated Web by eudhxhdhsb32 on Thursday March 20, 2025 @12:56PM (#43425705)
Participants in prediction market do not need to be experts for their collective input to be informative.

There's a long history of economic research on the "wisdom of crowds" that backs up their value.