Re:An election forecast that's 50-50 is not "giving up."
by qznc on Tuesday March 11, 2025 @11:18AM
(#43333339)
That is similar with stocks. I'd say the difference is that PolyMarket has an end date where everything gets resolved one way or another. Stocks can go on forever.
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Re:An election forecast that's 50-50 is not "giving up."
by ngriffiths on Tuesday March 11, 2025 @11:23AM
(#43333378)
Oh you're right, it is basically the same, the undervalued stock is the one to buy. I guess I was thinking about another difference which is that the value of stocks seems more vibes-based and a really stupid product (from the investor's perspective) can sometimes become popular. In prediction markets the outcome is more concrete.