Re:An election forecast that's 50-50 is not "giving up."
by colonCapitalDee on Monday March 10, 2025 @09:08PM
(#43328118)
> complains about mainstream media
> has no idea what mainstream media says because only source of information is unreliable fringe news sources
many such cases
Re:An election forecast that's 50-50 is not "giving up."
by wakawaka28 on Monday March 10, 2025 @10:41PM
(#43328640)
I get information from everywhere. Don't project your ignorance of alternatives on me.
Re:An election forecast that's 50-50 is not "giving up."
by wakawaka28 on Monday March 10, 2025 @10:43PM
(#43328649)
Archive.org suffered a massive hack for a whole month around the election. There's also dynamic content on many sites which shows different at different times and for different people. You're not gonna gaslight me about what I saw with my own eyes 6 months ago.
Anyways Decision Desks are a very different topic than pollsters and have no overlap.
I don't know what "mainstream media" you were consuming but as a bettor, I definitely didn't get the sense that the race was locked in. All major polls had Biden trailing Trump. Harris got a big boost but that only pushed her to being neck and neck with Trump. We can check the Wayback Machine to verify your claim
* NYTimes frontpage the day before the election says "turnout is a focus in a closely divided race" https://web.archive.org/web/20241105011526/https://www.nytim...
* Vox frontpage says "5 reasons Harris could win and 4 reasons Trump could" and "Should it really be this hard to beat Trump?" https://web.archive.org/web/20241106000611/https://www.vox.c...
* CNN frontpage does not include any particular characterization of chances https://web.archive.org/web/20241105000156/https://edition.c...
A cursory look at other "mainstream" media sources will easily verify that the race was clearly represented as a very close tossup.