Drones can't replace a human in the cockpit. Remote piloted are subject to EW. Autonomous are not quite there yet. May be in ten years, maybe not.

given the extreme 'benefits' of autonomous weapons (cheap, can be produced in arbitrary numbers, easier logistics, fewer parents mourning their children in your country, vastly easier production), we should expect them to be fielded before they are really ready.

Id agree with ten years to never for a 1:1 replacement - but Im not sure that is an actual requirement for drones to replace a development budget item for x-gen manned fighter.

That’s what I expect: long careers in NATO for Ukrainian veterans who can extrapolate from the high-point of USA and Russian arms.