Also, according to Perun, if Europe collectively raises defense spending to somewhere near 4,5% (I think, check last Sundays episode) it will outspend not only US but US and China together.
*eg. https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/09/europe/russia-advances-ku...
If Russians take Ukraine, they will force their population to attack the next country. Just like it happened with men of Donbass.
The only real capability Russia has, are their nuclear weapons and other long-range weapons - and even with the latter, they have been struggling.
FWIW, I worked in the defense industry, and even before the invasion Russia has been viewed as a paper tiger. They're good at coming up with novel ideas and weaponry, but for whatever reason, struggle to successfully get things from the drawing board to operational weapons.
[1] https://abcnews.go.com/International/ukraine-europe-react-sh... Pre freeze: "Malcolm Chalmers, the deputy director-general of the Royal United Services Institute think tank in the U.K., told ABC News that recent estimates indicate the U.S. share of all military hardware sent to the front has fallen to around 20%, with 25% coming from Europe and 55% domestically produced in Ukraine." ; also see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_aid_to_Ukrain...
[2] https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2025/03/04/us-weapo...
[3] https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/09/europe/russia-advances-ku...
Russians are slowly creeping in. I've heard ru-bankruptcy narrative for 3 years now, and it's not happening. They can buy lots of stuff with all the oil/gas/metals/minerals/lumber sales.