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Re:NASA Downgrades the Risk of 2024 YR4 to Below 1% by dartos on Sunday February 23, 2025 @08:24AM (#43149069)
Yes there is a better way to develop tech without knowingly sending a group of people to their deaths.

We could throw 100s of billions of dollars into it.

But it’s harder to sell to investors than language models

Re:NASA Downgrades the Risk of 2024 YR4 to Below 1% by ericd on Sunday February 23, 2025 @09:20AM (#43149402)
Ways that have no realistic way of happening aren’t better ways.

Obviously we don’t send a group without making it not certain death first. But the person I was responding to said that it would be reliant on Earth, which, yeah, you can’t realistically develop a fully self reliant economy without making a reliant economy first.

Re:NASA Downgrades the Risk of 2024 YR4 to Below 1% by BriggyDwiggs42 on Sunday February 23, 2025 @10:04AM (#43149755)
I have two important questions.

My first question is: would you be enthusiastic about the concept of a lunar colony?

My second question is: what kinds of things do you think are viable for a colony made within the next 50 years?

Re:NASA Downgrades the Risk of 2024 YR4 to Below 1% by ericd on Sunday February 23, 2025 @06:34PM (#43154289)
Lunar seems more convenient for debugging colony creation than Martian, since the shipping time from Earth will be a whole lot shorter. Projects are a lot harder when trips to the hardware store take months rather than days.

I think Starship makes colonies a whole lot more viable, once they iron out the issues, but I generally don't know enough to answer your second question.

Re:NASA Downgrades the Risk of 2024 YR4 to Below 1% by dartos on Monday February 24, 2025 @08:08AM (#43159113)
> Projects are a lot harder when trips to the hardware store take months rather than days

How long do you think it takes to plan a trip to the moon?

> I think Starship makes colonies a whole lot more viable

Why?

Re:NASA Downgrades the Risk of 2024 YR4 to Below 1% by ericd on Monday February 24, 2025 @08:37AM (#43159408)
Presumably there’d be regular missions, so there’d be relatively little additional planning for a given moon trip, similar to how there’s a lot less planning/paperwork that goes into a Falcon 9 launch these days than there was for any rocket before Falcon 9.

Starship’s goal is to drop cost of mass to orbit by a couple of orders of magnitude, if they pull that off, it would drop the cost of supporting a colony by quite a bit.

Re:NASA Downgrades the Risk of 2024 YR4 to Below 1% by BriggyDwiggs42 on Wednesday February 26, 2025 @12:09PM (#43185652)
I’m glad you are into the lunar colony. My biggest issue with the mars colony crowd is their disinterest in a much more practical lunar colony for us to cut our teeth on. Overall I feel like a lot of people are into colonies for aesthetic reasons. If it’s gonna 100-200 years before a colony could be self sustaining, then why are we treating multiplanetaryness as some kind of practical solution to current-day issues that appeared within the last century?