NASA says 'City killer' asteroid now has 3.1% chance of hitting Earth

Re:NASA says 'City killer' asteroid now has 3.1% chance of h... by SideburnsOfDoom on Wednesday February 19, 2025 @07:53AM (#43101550)

3% chance of it happening this time is not much.

But with enough repeats over time, it eventually becomes inevitable.

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Re:NASA says 'City killer' asteroid now has 3.1% chance of h... by metalman on Wednesday February 19, 2025 @08:11AM (#43101747)

or, if there is any likelyhood of there bieng 32 more such asteroids, now, it is inevitable but to pose a significant risk to a habitated place, would take many more than 33 asteroids then there is luck, call it further uncertinty if you must but what we can predict with 100% certainty is increased budgets for space defence, and lots of start up rocket companys pivoting in that direction

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