Its reproducible at a superficial level. Tags are mutable, so someone can push a different “3.1” between build 1 and 2, which results in a different build. You can also be fuzzy with tags, so if you say “from nginx:3” as your base (or nginx:latest) then build 1 and 2 can change because of a new tagged build upstream.

Then theres the million app-level changes that can creep in, eg copying local source is non-deterministic, apt-update, git clone, etc. Nix requires you to be fully explicit about the hash of the content you expect in each of those cases and so if you build it twice it is actually the same build.