Re:A liar who always lies says "All my hats are green."
by LudwigNagasena on Monday December 09, 2024 @08:00PM
(#42372480)
> It's very easy to demostrate as well: consider a trivia case where the distribution is just {P(1)=1/3, P(2)=1/3, P(3)=1/3} and you see 2 in the first envelope.
Seeing 2 is only one of the many possible cases. You haven’t calculated the total probability.
Seeing 2 is only one of the many possible cases. You haven’t calculated the total probability.