- Gang-related homicides includes the homicides of innocent bystanders of gang-related shootings.
- Over half of all homicide victims are non-white.
These three facts make it obvious that well above 60% of all non-white homicides are NOT “gang-targeted or -involved”.
If it is true that 80% of non-white cases go unsolved, then more than 50% of all unsolved non-white homicides are NOT gang-related in any way.
And this is an extremely conservative estimate. Just fixing unfavorable rounding adjusts the percentage of unrelated homicides to above 65%.
Given that, it doesn’t seem wise to presume gang-involvement on the part of non-white unsolved homicide victims solely on the basis of them being… non-white unsolved homicide victims.
It's not nearly that bad. Around 40-50% are solved. There are around 30% more non-white homicides than there are white homicides per year in the US, which means that the overall homicide solve rate is closer to the non-white solve rate than to the white solve rate.
Related parties are easy to name and find, unrelated murderers which you don't find immediately are only going to get harder to catch - where do you even start when with something like that?
Nice just-so argument.
Any basis in fact? Stats maybe?
There is a high correlation between being a non-white murder victim (in America) and being targeted by or involved in gang violence.
Gang violence seems to be less moderated by the police, for probably a variety of reasons both practical and political.
But yes, if you aren’t killing a rival gang member, you do probably have worse odds than the overall stat.