US airlines transported passengers over two light-years since the last crash

Re:US airlines transported passengers over two light-years s... by berndi on Monday December 02, 2024 @07:26AM (#42295514)

Common sense means taking the less risky option.

Assuming that the survival rate is constant as a function of trip length, the empirical estimate of the risk is fully determined by the number of deaths per distance.

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Re:US airlines transported passengers over two light-years s... by sokoloff on Monday December 02, 2024 @07:32AM (#42295560)

In this case, they’re not fully determined by distance.

Airline travel is much riskier in takeoff and landing phases. A bunch of 200 mile flights is riskier than a 3500 mile trans-con trip.

Car travel is much safer on controlled access highways than 40 mph surface streets.

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Re:US airlines transported passengers over two light-years s... by _heimdall on Monday December 02, 2024 @10:17AM (#42297011)

> Assuming that the survival rate is constant as a function of trip length

That's an assumption that doesn't hold up, at least that's the argument I was trying to make above.

Generalizing so much data down to a single statistic makes the number useless. Almost all context is lost, really the only context kept is mode of transportation and distance traveled. That isn't enough to help anyone make a decision for any particular trip.

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