I stand corrected:

"The fact that he's only been able to visit a relative handful of countries -- nearly all of which were traditional Cold War allies (and several of these being current or former vassal states) -- indicates that, by and large, the warrant is working as intended."

BTW the number is 9, not 20.

Not grandparent, but where are you getting 9?

I get 16 from the Wiki:

Tajikistan

Turkmenistan

Iran

Uzbekistan

Kazakhstan

Armenia

Kyrgyzstan

Belarus

China

United Arab Emirates

Saudi Arabia

North Korea

Vietnam

Azerbaijan

Mongolia

Turkmenistan

I'm looking at the bullet lists for 2023-2024, whereas it seems you may be looking at the table of all post-2022 visits (several of which were before the warrant was issued).

Several of the countries listed are not members of the ICC, so they don’t really count here.

I count 12. However only Mongolia is a member of the ICC, 3 (Kyrgyzstan, UAE and Uzbekistan) have signed the Rome Statute, but have not ratified it, and none of the other 8 (China, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Saudi Arabia, North Korea, Vietnam, Azerbaijan, and Turkmenistan) has even signed it. Russia it self has signed it, but, like the USA and Israel, has notified the Secretary General that they have no intention of ratifying it.